Monday, February 01, 1993

FEBRUARY 1993 Economic Digest - Importing and Exporting



FEBRUARY 1993 Edition

EUROPE
            The European countries are anxious to unite their economies while protecting their work forces. A Social Charter, still to be ratified, is supposed to stop exploitation of different wage levels between countries. However, the U.S. based Hoover Co. has just moved vacuum cleaner production from Dijon in France, where they have sacked 650 workers, to Scotland where they will take on 400 workers at much lower terms.
            Meanwhile, some of the Community's more notorious legislative proposals include an EC-wide standard size for condoms, an eye-in-the-sky satellite to make sure the nine million farmers aren't lying when they report land taken out of use for compensation, and a change in classification for the carrot, from vegetable status to that of fruit.
            So concerned are the faces behind the Brussels bureaucracy, the EC policy-making body, that they have organized a PR campaign to help revamp the EC's floundering image and get its message across.

CROSS-BORDER SHOPPING
            Now that the shoe is on the other foot, retailers are claiming that Canadian tax laws are discouraging them from trying to lure U.S. shoppers north of the border. The Federation of Canadian Municipalities is recommending tax changes which would allow Canadian retailers to deduct American advertising as a business expense. Currently, tax laws do not allow such deductions but U.S. tax laws allow American merchants to deduct advertising costs incurred in Canada.
            Businesses are concerned that at a time when they can at last offer lower prices than Americans, they are unable to spread the word along border communities.
           
EMPLOYMENT
            Statistics Canada has at last declared the recession to be over and in the U.S. they have had the seventh straight quarter of expansion and the fastest in four years. The biggest leap in the index of leading indicators in almost 10 years. Durable goods orders are up 9 per cent in one month.
            However, economists have been mystified by the difference in the unemployment rates. In January, the Canadian jobless rate was 11.0%, while the U.S. rate was only 7.1%. Canadian and U.S. jobless rates were very similar until the 1981-82 recession. The gap opened then but there was no single event, no change in social policy, demographic change or change in industrial structure to account for it.
            A UBC\Princeton study is now offering some clues. Apparently, more Canadians than Americans were looking for work, which automatically classified them as unemployed.  About a quarter of Canadian unemployed men worked exactly the period required to qualify for UI, which raises the question of whether they would have worked longer in the U.S. where unemployment requirements are stiffer and is Canada's UI system a disincentive to working longer? Canadian women who are off work spend more time seeking new jobs than their U.S. counterparts.
            There is a related phenomenon among men who do not work at all--a group that includes the retired and disabled who were not even job seeking as well as those who were. In Canada, 13 per cent of such men said they spent the entire year looking unsuccessfully for work, compared with only 3.6% in the U.S.  

BOEING
            On January 27th, Boeing announced that it will cut production by as much as 35% over the next 18 months. Buyers have cancelled or delayed scores of orders because of airline losses blamed on a Gulf-related collapse in tourism, fare wars and the economic turndown. The company has not yet said how many jobs will be affected but observers estimate it could be between 10,000 and 20,000. Boeing ended 1992 with about 98,000 Puget Sound employees, down 6,000 from the year before. 
            The layoffs will be felt through the housing market, retail sector and other fields. A Boeing job is usually credited with generating two or more others. More than 200 Canadian companies have contracts with Boeing.

RED TAPE
            MPs are at last trying to come to grips with some of the more absurd regulations which affect our competitiveness at home and abroad. Two examples: Kimberly-Clark of Canada Ltd. can't export facial tissue to the U.S. market because Canadian regulations dictate how many tissues go in a package which prevents marketing one size for both countries. This is a lost opportunity to increase production in Canada while giving the consumer a cheaper product.
            For reasons only bureaucrats can fathom, Canadian grocers must sell food in cans that are 3 1/16 inches in diameter. Most U.S. canners prefer using a three-inch can. So if a shipment of baked beans becomes available [in the U.S.] at a discount price, a Canadian grocer cannot import it and pass the savings on to consumers.
            "Parliament has lost control of the regulatory process," says a recently released report by MPs. Bureaucrats at opposite ends of the country enforce one rule differently even though they work for the same federal department.

FREE TRADE
            With the duty rates on fabric falling, Jantzen Canada, the sportswear manufacturer, is finding it economical to send fabrics to Canada to be sewn into swimsuits and to export the finished suits for U.S. sales. They have added 65 Canadian jobs and now employ an all time high of 300. 75 per cent of their swimsuit production goes to the States which represents about 12 per cent of Jantzen's U.S. swimwear sales.
            While planning one of the recent inaugural extravaganzas, it was discovered that there were not enough flags for a Peace Corps presentation in the parade and they had to turn to a Canadian company for help. They did not have enough flags to represent the 126 countries where Peace Corps volunteers had served in the past 31 years. A search of companies in the $300-million U.S. flag industry on a Saturday found no flags for several countries because most firms were closed.
            A call went out to Canadiana Banners and Flags of Mississauga where the staff were on duty. The flag designs were copied from reference books, read into a computer, screened over the weekend and shipped to Washington on Monday.

MARKETING BOARDS
            Although the GATT talks are presently stalled in Geneva, Canadian marketing boards continue to fight the inevitable changes which will see subsidies replaced with decreasing tariffs to the benefit of the consumer. Now the dairy industry wants to revamp the marketing board system for the first time in 25 years.
Among their proposals:
* Abandon provincial boards in favour of one national board.
* Remove interprovincial barriers to trade.
* Harmonize milk regulations and prices across the country.
* Close unnecessary butter and byproduct plants.
* Encourage exporters with a guaranteed supply of lower-cost milk.
* Promote new and innovative products.
* Revise the way supermarkets sell milk to raise processors profits and cut costs for consumers by getting rid of things like shelving allowances.        
           
HYDRO
            In Ontario electricity is expensive and some customers are not willing to pay any more. At the University of Toronto, engineers have built their own generating station which will supply one third of their needs and waste heat from the project will be piped into classrooms and laboratories on campus and used to heat water. The kilowatt-hour cost will be about a third of that charged by Toronto Hydro. The power plant is a small gas turbine and generator housed in an old coal storage shed and can be run around the clock for months on end.
            The prospects for dramatic savings are such that organizations like Labatt Breweries, Kimberly-Clark, Fanshawe College, the Etobicoke Olympian, H. J. Heinz and Falconbridge, the province's biggest single power buyer, have built, or are building, their own power facilities.

SOUTH PACIFIC
            Australia has achieved the lowest inflation rate in the developed world with 0.3%, the lowest in 30 years. The country already has a very successful free trade agreement with New Zealand which has eliminated all tariffs several years ahead of schedule and the Australian Prime Minister has now stated that he backs the idea of a free trade deal with Japan.
            In New Zealand, once one of the most protected economies, things are at last turning around after 10 lean years. Exchange controls have been removed, the dollar floated, and the financial markets deregulated. Subsidies have been reduced and import protection reduced. Many enterprises previously run by government are now privatized with dramatic results. For example, New Zealand's Railway, once an inefficient government department now moves freight more quickly, makes a profit and has a staff of 5,100 compared to 22,000 a decade ago.

UNITED STATES
            A consensus seems to be emerging indicating that NAFTA may now not be approved in the U.S. in time for a January 1st 1994 implementation despite assurances by President Clinton to the contrary.
            The President is committed to side deals on labour and the environment before sending NAFTA to Congress and the problem is how to pay for any readjustment programs for U.S. workers who lose their jobs as a result of the trilateral trade deal as well as to find funds for the promised deficit reduction.
            A surcharge on energy imports from Canada has been suggested as well as a .875% import surcharge on ALL exports from Canada and Mexico to the U.S. These ideas probably contravene the Canada-U.S. FTA as well as the GATT, but give an indication that trade irritants between Canada and the U.S. are likely to intensify under a highly protectionist Congress.

OTTAWA
            Since 1986, cash buyouts and other payments to 13,000 civil servants have cost the taxpayer $325-million. A report by the Auditor-General shows that many of the payments went to civil servants who shouldn't have received them.
            At least 800 of the federal civil servants who were given cash buyouts to quit the bureaucracy ended up back on the federal payroll. In many cases, the so-called surplus employees were replaced soon afterward by other employees doing the same work.
            In an audit of 396 buyouts payments examined by the Auditor-General, 35 per cent were found to be unjustified and 29 per cent were questionable. Only 29 per cent of payments were found to be well founded.
            In one situation, employees who received buyout agreements in a government unit were found to be working in a similar unit nearby shortly after the end of the six-month period for which they received payment.

TRIVIA
            The public service in the major, western industrial, nations has grown at a rate nearly twice that of the private sector since the 1970s. Federal governments now consume an average of 24.9% of their nations' gross domestic product and all levels of government an average of 43.4%.
  FEDERAL GOVERNMENT (% OF GDP, 1990)
Italy                                                      40.8%
Britain                                                  33.3%
U.S                                                       23.5%
CANADA                                               22.9%

           ALL LEVELS OF GOVERNMENT
Italy                                                      53.8%
France                                                  49.8%
CANADA                                               47.3%   
            Federally appointed judges, who earn more than $150,000 a year, say a two-year freeze on their salaries may be unconstitutional because they were not consulted and are considering taking the government to court.