Sunday, September 01, 1996

SEPTEMBER 1996 Economic Digest - Importing and Exporting



SEPTEMBER 1996 Edition

EXPORTERS SOFTWARE
            Advice for service companies interested in export markets is now available on computer disk from the federal government. Take A World View is a six-disk package that includes descriptions of the exporting process, help for developing an export plan, a list of common mistakes and information on networking and developing partnerships. The software, produced by the Department of Foreign Affairs and International Trade, costs $49.95 plus tax, and can be ordered by calling 1-819-956-4800.

NAFTA
            The North American Development Bank, created under the NAFTA to improve conditions along the U.S.-Mexico border, has yet to lend any of the $1.5 billion (U.S.) available. It was designed to respond to criticism that NAFTA would add new pressures on an already burdened border infrastructure. Meanwhile, according to the General Accounting Office, lack of basic water, waste water and sanitation services continue to affect the well-being of many of the 10 million Mexicans and Americans who live along the border. A new report suggests that Bank policies could be inhibiting loans to small communities along the 3,400 kilometre border.

USED CARS
            Because of the rising cost of new cars, Canadians are increasingly turning to the used car market and leasing instead of buying. About 64 per cent of cars, trucks and minivans acquired during the past year were used, versus 36 per cent new. The number of people leasing new cars soared to almost 40 per cent of buyers of 1996 models, from 25 per cent in previous years. Among buyers of used cars, 77 per cent said the most important reason for their choice was price. People are also hanging onto their vehicles much longer.

BEVERAGES
            According to the Beverage Marketing Corp., the so-called "new age" drinks industry, with products like kiwi lime and grapefruit spring water, has hit its peak and the market is declining while consumers have moved on to other things. The North American market is worth $5.5 billion annually. Competition among new entrants into the sector has taken its toll. As a result, companies are scrambling to fashion new looks for themselves and find more products and markets.

TOLL-FREE
            A new standard adopted by the International Telecommunications Union will allow businesses to use the same toll-free long-distance telephone number anywhere in the world starting next year. More than 100 million toll-free calls are made every day in the U.S. alone and the service is so popular that Canadian and U.S. phone companies ran out of numbers using the 800 prefix and had to add 888 numbers this year. Customers who want a universal number will be allocated an eight-digit number to be used after the 800 prefix instead of the current seven-digit number which will make an additional 90 million freephone numbers available to carriers, compared with the nine million now in use. The ITU will manage a single global registry and the universal numbers will be portable, meaning that businesses can keep the number even if they change carriers.

PRINT
            A survey of U.S. small businesses by the Japanese company Okidata--which makes printers and fax machines-- found that 91 per cent use print materials to market themselves. Brochures and flyers are favourite, used by 54 per cent of respondents, while 33 per cent use direct mail. Most firms, 72 per cent, said they print their own materials and 70 per cent believe printed materials are "very effective" in their marketing efforts.

RECYCLING
            People who want the convenience of disposable containers but worry about environmental pollution now have an alternative--edible tableware. A Taiwanese inventor claims to have perfected a range of palatable bowls, which look like plastic or ceramic tableware. They turn into chemical- and preservative-free porridge when soaked in water and cooked for several minutes.

ISRAEL
            Canada and Israel have now signed a free trade deal which will see tariffs eliminated on most products within two years. Trade between the two countries totalled $450 million last year, up 37 per cent from 1994. Canadian exports were $237 million, up 49 per cent. Currently, about 67 per cent of Israel's goods enter Canada duty free but far fewer Canadian goods enter Israel duty free and some face tariffs of up to 25 per cent. The agreement does not include dairy, poultry or egg products and provides limited tariffs on some other agricultural goods. Canada hopes to extend the agreement to the Palestinian territories.

WORK
            Looking at the labour market each month as it fluctuates marginally leaves the impression it is virtually static. The reality is far more complex. An analysis of the 1993 labour market           shows that for nearly every member of the 16 million-strong work force, it was a year of massive upheaval. 27 per cent, or 4.3 million, experienced a change in job status--lost a job, got a job or moved in or out of the labour force. Another 1.6 million, representing 10 per cent, worked the entire year but changed jobs at least once. Among the 8.1 million who held the same job throughout the year, one in five said they received a substantial raise of 10 per cent or more while one in ten reported a wage cut of at least 10 per cent. 3.5 million or 22 per cent were unemployed at least once.

ASIA
            According to the OECD, Asia still boasts the world's most dynamic emerging economies. China will yet again have the fastest growth in 1996 and 1997 with the GDP growing 10.5 per cent in each year. Thailand and Malaysia are next with economies likely to grow by around 8 per cent this year.

EUROPE
            An ad campaign by the Swedish government is urging fathers to take their allotted one month off work at nearly full pay to spend time with their young children.
            To deter speeding motorists, the Dutch city of Culemborg plans to introduce sheep onto its roads. Half a dozen sheep will be released this month and if the plan works, the number of sheep will be increased to over 100.

TELEVISION
            In 1995, for the first time in a decade, Canadians watched more television. On average, Canadians spent 23.2 hours in front of the small screen, 30 minutes more than in 1994. Statistics Canada say the increase is mainly a result of the six specialty channels introduced at the start of 1995. When removing the audiences for these channels, the numbers are similar to previous years. Quebec had the highest provincial viewing average, 26.2 hours a week, while British Columbians watched the least television, at 21.2 hours.

WEALTH CREATION
            A leading venture capitalist in California's Silicon Valley has calculated that the personal computer has caused the highest creation of wealth in the history of the planet. Between them, just three companies--Microsoft, Intel and Compaq--have a stock market valuation of $130 billion (U.S.), more than all the film studios in Hollywood.

OPENINGS
            Wal-Mart Stores has opened two stores  in Shenzhen, marking its official entrance into China's booming consumer market. Shenzhen is just across the border from Hong Kong and boasts China's highest per capita income. One is a Supercenter, open to the public and the other a members-only Sam's Club.
            Seattle based Starbucks Corp, has opened its first store outside North America in the heart of Tokyo's trendy Ginza shopping district. Japan is the fourth largest coffee consuming country in the world, after the U.S., Brazil and Germany.

JEWELLERY
            Canada's $2 billion jewellery industry is in revolt over an obscure, 80 year old, federal excise tax saying it is responsible for an explosion in black market sales since the recession. The 10 per cent luxury levy, applied since the First World War, is charged on items worth more than $3.00 and raised $59 million in 1994-95 alone. The taxes are collected by manufacturers on sales to wholesalers, retailers or directly to the public. A 1993 study estimates that the underground economy now constitutes 30 to 60 per cent of the jewellery sector, or between $600,000 and $1.2 billion.

MILK
            Some B.C. farmers are threatening to dump milk down the drain that they are not allowed to sell as a protest against Canada's milk marketing system. British Columbia cannot process enough milk products for its own population. Quebec holds 48 per cent of the Canadian quota for products such as cheese and butter while having only 25 per cent of the country's population. The B.C. quota is less than five per cent, yet the province consumes nearly 12 per cent of industrial dairy products. Meanwhile, producers in Quebec receive grants to build new plants to send products to B.C.

PENSIONS
            The Fraser Institute has concluded that provincial administrations across Canada owe $49 billion to their employee pension plans. In B.C., we owe about $3.5 billion to teachers, judges and other public employees, compared to $10 billion in Ontario and $21.3 billion in Quebec and $5 billion in Alberta. Saskatchewan's auditor sounded the alarm in May when he warned that the province's $3.1 billion unfunded pension liability threatens more than just retirement security for 133,000 public employees. It also could affect taxpayers if the shortfall frightens off investors, adding to ever-rising borrowing costs and deepening provincial debt.

COMPANIES
            The world's three biggest companies in 1995 (ranked by sales) were all Japanese--as were ten of the top 15. With sales of $184 billion Mitsubishi, a trading company, was top. The fourth biggest was General Motors with sales of $170 billion. The only non Japanese or U.S. firm in the top 15 was Royal Dutch Shell which had the tenth-highest sales in the world but made the largest profits of $6.9 billion.

GOLF
            A Forbes article states that while golf courses are popping up everywhere, the golf boom seems to have run its course in the U.S. The number of golfers peaked at 27.8 million in 1990 and declined to 25 million last year. Women golfers are down to 5.4 million from 6.5 million in 1990 and total rounds of golf fell to 490 million from 505 million in 1992. Spending has also levelled off: sales of equipment was unchanged at $1.37 billion last year. Among the reasons, golf clubs are being built sturdier and are not replaced as often.

COMMUNICATIONS
            In the late 1970s, the world's first mobile telephone service started in Tokyo. By 1989 fewer than 250,000 people had one and in 1994 there were still only 2.1 million subscribers. Everything changed last year and there are now more than 11 million cellular phones being carried around Japan. The difference was the introduction of a cheap and diminutive competitor, the Personal Handyphone System. The PHS is a cross between the cordless phone used around the home and the more sophisticated cellular used in cars, but much more mobile than the cordless phone and much cheaper than the cellular. The tiny radio transmitters and receivers that PHS operators fix on top of street lamps, telegraph poles and telephone kiosks cost only one-50th of a typical cellular base station. The handset also costs half as much as a cellular phone to make.

INVESTMENTS
            Karolina, a chimpanzee in Poland's Cracow zoo, picked stocks on the Warsaw exchange that earned a 10 per cent return on a three month investment, beating a stockbroker's selections.