Monday, November 01, 1993

NOVEMBER 1993 Economic Digest - Importing and Exporting



NOVEMBER 1993 Edition

U.S. EXPORT DRIVE
            President Clinton has unveiled a strategy to help American companies sell more products overseas which includes relaxation of Cold War restrictions on exporting computers and other high-tech equipment. Called the National Export Strategy, it aims at raising U.S. export of goods and services to $1-trillion (U.S.) by the end of the decade from $628-billion a year in 1992 and creating six million new jobs.
            It will also direct the 19 government entities encouraging exports to work together. And, starting with fiscal year 1995, it will create one multiagency trade promotion budget out of the $4.3-billion in separate programs scattered throughout the federal government.
The Administration is concerned that not enough assistance is devoted to export of manufactured goods and that the unified budget would direct aid more rationally. It stopped short of saying agricultural goods would lose out. Currently, about 80 per cent of export-promotion spending is devoted to agricultural products even though they represent only about 10 per cent of the export total. The strategy recommends the creation of "one-stop shops" around the country where employees of different agencies--the Commerce Department, the Export-Import Bank and the Small Business Administration--would work together to assist U.S. companies.

INTER-PROVINCIAL TRADE
            StatsCan has produced figures to show just how valuable is trade between provinces. In fact, Canada's provinces and territories export almost as much to each other as they do to the rest of the world.
            In 1989, provinces sold $160-billion worth of goods abroad and $146-billion worth to each other. Ontario and Quebec ran surpluses in their trade with other provinces. Everyone else ran deficits, with B.C., Alberta Saskatchewan and Nova Scotia leading the pack.
            On average, Canadians consume about 46 per cent of the resource and manufactured goods they produce within their own province; another 22 per cent is sold elsewhere in the country and the remaining 32 per cent on the world markets. The pattern seems to be that the more a province or territory relies on resources and the smaller the market, the more it sells outside its borders.
            Relative to what they produce, Yukon (minerals) and Newfoundland (forest, mineral and fish products) were the country's champion international exporters. Ontario (cars)
and B.C. (forest, mineral and fish products) are also big exporters, but since each can sell almost half its goods at home, relatively little goes to the rest of the country. (Ontario exports huge volumes to other provinces simply because it produces so much in the first place).            Quebec (forest products, metals and electricity) also consumes almost half its own goods, with the remainder fairly evenly split between foreign markets and the rest of Canada.
            The pattern for services is much different. Here fully 79 per cent are sold in the province that produces them; almost 14 per cent go to other provinces and a mere 7 per cent sold abroad.
Just what do we trade among ourselves?
* The biggest item is transportation services at $12.9-billion which reflects Canada's geographical vastness. This includes business travel, tourism and postal and courier services.
* Wholesale services, at $12.6-billion ranks second. Marketing goods across provincial boundaries is a huge business, dominated by Ontario.
* Food is next at $11.7-billion: meat products from Alberta, dairy products from Quebec and P.E.I.; fruit and vegetables from B.C. and the three Maritime provinces; fish products from B.C. and the four Atlantic provinces.
* Financial services are worth $11.3-billion. Ontario has most of it but B.C., Nova Scotia and Manitoba have notable chunks.
* Business services, worth $9.5-billion come mainly from Ontario, Quebec, B.C. and Alberta.
* Ontario and Quebec dominate the markets for metal products ($9.9-billion), chemical  products ($8.1-billion) and transportation equipment ($7.7-billion).

HONG KONG
            The Hong Kong Trade Development Council (HKTDC) has offices in Toronto and Vancouver and maintains a database that contains information on more than 90,000 Chinese and 3,500 Hong Kong companies which is available free to Canadian companies. The HKTDC caters especially to small and medium-sized companies looking for import connections and export business in Hong Kong and China. According to a recent HKTDC study, Hong Kong--a trading conduit between booming Southeast Asia and the outside world--now ranks 10th worldwide in both imports and exports, although it is just 90th in population size.

RICH AND POOR
            The poor nations of the South transfer annually more than $50-billion (U.S.) to the rich countries of the North than they receive in aid and investment. Trade barriers are a constant issue. The World Bank says a 50 per cent cut in trade barriers by the EC, the U.S. and Japan would raise exports from developing countries by about $50-billion a year--about equal to the total foreign aid to the poor countries. 

PACKAGING
            For years, manufacturers have spent considerable resources designing tops for containers that are child and tamper proof. The problem is that seniors have difficulty opening them, and often turn to children for help. Also, seniors have problems with bulky household cleaners, heavy spring water jugs, hard-to read  instructions and hard-to grasp bottles.             These are problems that the packaged goods industry is starting to address more seriously as seniors, already about 11 per cent of the population, represent a growing and lucrative market for manufacturers. By 2021 one in five Canadians will be 65 or older and as the baby-boom generation reaches retirement age, seniors will become a dominant consumer force.       Last month, the Seniors Packaging Advisory Council, made up of industry, seniors and government was given a federal grant of $436,700 to examine seniors complaints and try to come up with solutions over the next two years.

FOOD RETAILING
            By the year 2000, the 30 or so major food chains in North America could be reduced to about 10. Many food processors will be squeezed out of business and there will be less variety on the food store shelf. These are a few of Ernst & Young's predictions in their annual forecast of the food and beverage industry. Also, tougher competition, fewer players and a continued shift in power from the manufacturing sector to the supermarket giants. Nonetheless, the food and beverage industry will remain one of the most important in Canada. With 1992 sales of about $44-billion, it is the second largest industry in terms of sales in Canada, after the forest sector. It employs one of five Canadians, accounts for exports of about $13-billion and has a net trade balance of $3.9-billion.

EXPORTERS
            The supporting structure for what will be the world's largest optical telescope is nearing completion in Port Coquitlam. It weighs more than 150 tonnes, stands 26 metres high and will house a mirror 10 metres across. It is part of a $100-million project and will be assembled in Hawaii. The project has kept 65 employees busy for three years.
            A Kelowna company has designed from scratch, and built in six weeks, a seven-tonne army truck, work that would normally take six months. It required around 700 hours of engineering. The prototype is awaiting shipment to Kuwait where the company is hoping to win a contract for 2,200 vehicles which would create 350 jobs and earn $250-million.
            The giant Avis, Inc in Garden City N.Y., will use technology developed by a small Nelson company to equip thousands of its rental cars with daytime running lights. The system will be tested for a six-month period and the company hopes Avis will expand the program to its entire 100,000 vehicle fleet.
Research has shown that daytime running light reduced daytime multi-vehicle accidents by 23 per cent in Sweden, 40 per cent in Norway and 37 per cent in Finland.

LABOUR PEACE
            If trends continue, 1993 will end with the lowest rate of work stoppages in Canada in half a century. The reason, both labour and management say, is that the harsh economic climate has given the two sides a firmer grip on reality, and neither is willing to risk the disruption caused by a strike or lockout. The Labour Department reported recently that time lost as a result of major work stoppages in the first half of the year amounted to 187,730 person-days, or 0.01 per cent of estimated working time. This is in contrast to 1980, for instance, when 0.29 per cent of working time was lost. Canada has just seen the first strike-free round of negotiations with the Big Three Canadian automakers in more than 30 years. Average annual wage increases negotiated in collective agreements have also plummeted. The average reported in August was 1.5 per cent, compared with increases nearing 14 per cent in the early 1980s.

DATA
            Canada Business Report on Greater China offers subscribers economic analysis, trade and investment news, and reports on Canadian activity in one of the world's largest economic regions covering the PRC, Hong Kong, Taiwan and Macau. The preview issue included stories on Asian companies turning to the VSE for investment, BC Tree Fruits recent joint venture in Shandong province, and an overview of the recent large building projects underway in China. It is to be published 10 times a year and cost $295 a year and $160 for six months. It is available from Canada-Far East Business Publications, P.O. Box 23104, Wanchai Post Office, Wanchai, Hong Kong. Fax: (852) 527-9158.
            And now you can get over 250,000 business contacts on a disk. Companies International combines U.S. and international company data in one directory for a complete global source of business information. The directory allows you to access information by company name, geographical location, sales volume, number of employees, industries served and types of products made. It is on CD-ROM, print volumes, magnetic tape or diskette. Details can be obtained from Gale Research at 1-800-877-4253.

STATISTICS
            Recently, The Economist asked a panel of international statisticians to rank the official statistics agencies in 13 industrial economies. They were asked to judge countries' statistics according to the objectivity of the agency (ie, whether it is free from political interference), the reliability of the figures, statistical methodology, and the relevance of published figures, such as coverage of service industries.
Canada came top, followed by Australia --the same result as in 1991. In terms of timeliness, the U.S. is the fastest at getting figures out while fastidious Canada is one of the slowest. Canada's advantage is considered to be its centralised system using a single agency. In contrast, the U.S. is highly decentralised with statistical units in 70 agencies. Holland is the most up-to-date in the use of computers, particularly for collecting information directly from companies and has made the biggest advances in environmental accounting.

POTATOES
            Maine's two Republican lawmakers have asked the U.S. Trade Representative to send a fact-finding team to Maine to investigate Canadian potato subsidies. They claim that Maine's struggling potato farmers are being threatened by a flood of government-subsidized imports from Canada. Maine, once the second-largest U.S. potato producer, has seen acreage devoted to potatoes fall to 81,000 from 108,000, while New Brunswick and Prince Edward Island have expanded to 138,000 from 110,000.

ONLY IN AMERICA
            The shoeshine concession in the courthouse in Hackensack, N.J., is open for bids from those who can meet the contract specifications--all 18 pages of them. All this for a job that involves eight to 10 shoeshines a day at $2 each.