Tuesday, October 01, 1996

OCTOBER 1996 Economic Digest - Importing and Exporting



OCTOBER 1996 Edition

TAX BREAKS
            The New Brunswick government is offering a sales tax rebate of up to $250 to residents who buy a home computer by December 31. The government wants as many people as possible, whether in urban or rural areas, to have computers stating that access to computer networks can provide residents with improved education, business, government and entertainment services and make the province more competitive. The government estimates that about 32 per cent, or 80,000, households in the province currently have a PC and hopes the rebate program will add another 10,000. 

TRUCKING
            U.S. trucking firm J.B. Hunt Transport Service Inc. has stunned the transport industry by announcing plans for onetime pay increases averaging 33 per cent to take effect next February. The company said the move is aimed at solving severe labour shortages. However, analysts are afraid it may have more sweeping consequences for the U.S. economy such as higher shipping costs for billions of dollars of consumer goods. Truckload carriers now employ more than 300,000 drivers yet need 10 to 15 per cent more. Trucking controls about 79 per cent of the $460 billion U.S. freight bill.

DINING OUT
            The average Japanese consumer ate $2,000 (US) worth of food away from home last year, making them the world's biggest fans of restaurants and food outlets. Overall, they spent $263 billion on dining out last year. Japanese diners spent more than twice as much as their nearest rivals, the Americans, who consumed food worth $950 per capita away from home while Europeans spent from $435 to $810 per capita eating out.

FORESTRY
            An Industry Canada report states that the former Soviet Union's vast softwood forests threaten the competitiveness of Canada's forest products industry. Wood products exports from the Baltic States are already eroding Canadian market share in the European market. In 1995, exports of Canadian wood and pulp and paper totalled $41.2 billion. As many as 225,000 people work in the forests and mills across Canada and up to 675,000 other jobs are indirectly supported by the industry. The report said fast-growing forest plantations in Chile, New Zealand and Australia are also a threat.      

GAS STATIONS           
            Canada's major oil companies are cutting back on giveaways such as mugs, glassware and books and concentrating on enticing motorists with diversified gasoline stations which put neighbourhood convenience stores to shame. Gas stations have been bruised after battling retail chains which specialize in oil changes, tune-ups and other services. Industry observers say the new focus on convenience stores and fast food outlets represents a widespread retreat from automotive service and speculate that a typical gas station of the future might sell only oil and windshield fluid in addition to gasoline, with only a few providing car repairs.

LABOUR COSTS
            Unit labour costs measure the total cost of labour required to produce one unit of output. They are driven up by inflation and downward by gains in labour productivity. In most industrialized countries, labour costs have been growing slowly over the past five years. The average annual increase in labour costs in selected countries was lower during the 1990-95 period than during 1985-90. The biggest change was in Sweden where costs rose at an annual rate of 6.6 per cent while unit costs in
Canada and the U.S. rose only 0.3 per cent.

U.S. EXPORTERS
            A recent Coopers & Lybrand study of 434 fastest-growing U.S. companies showed a 31.2 per cent sales increase for 204 that were exporting, compared with 24.9 per cent for the nonexporters. A similar survey three years ago revealed a much smaller growth gap: 26.4 per cent for exporters versus 22.5 per cent for those staying domestic. The exporters said they expect their sales outside the U.S. to zoom 66 per cent this year. Not all exporters are manufacturers. Of companies surveyed that planned to start exporting this year, more than half are service providers. The median company reported 70 employees and annual sales of $7 million.

TECHNOLOGY
            Scientists in Antarctica studying the world's environment have been looking for a solution on how best to track penguins, a critical part of their research. They are now using barcodes, similar to the ones used at supermarket check-outs, glued to the beaks of the penguins. The equipment has to work in temperatures as low as -73 C and an infrared reader be able to detect the codes from great distances. While the concept works, biologists are not finding the penguins very cooperative.

INTERPROVINCIAL TRADE
            Trade among the provinces was almost as important to the national economy as exports in the early 1990s. One in every six private-sector jobs was linked to the production of goods and services sold across provincial or territorial boundaries. Interprovincial trade accounted for $141 billion of economic output, compared to $161 billion in exports abroad. B.C. had the largest interprovincial trade deficit at $8 billion but was second only to Alberta in its surplus in international trade.           

VANCOUVER
            The B.C-initiated International Maritime Centre (IMC) was set up to take advantage of federal policy which exempts international shipping companies from Canadian resident-corporation taxes. A recent benefit study shows that since 1993, 21 companies which control more than 200 ships, have established offices in Canada, 18 of them in Vancouver (10 of them from Hong Kong). These offices employ around 350 persons with an approximate annual payroll of $17 million. Business expenditures in Canada are about $30 million a year.      

SMALLTOWN U.S.A.
            Commerce Department figures are showing a surprising trend. Small, little-known towns are drawing in new factories and shattering the myth that manufacturing is dying in the hinterlands. From 1989 to 1994, rural counties gained 167,000 new manufacturing jobs, while urban counties lost 1,172,000 of them. The rural gains are all the more striking, coming as manufacturers produce more goods with fewer workers. Small communities, where land is cheaper, are luring manufacturers by offering tax breaks, low wages and taxes and a reliable work force.

OPEN SKIES
            Government is finding that economic growth and creating jobs can be spurred by changing regulations rather than just writing cheques. A case in point is the 18 month-old Open Skies air agreement between Canada and the U.S. This piece of cross-border deregulation has been a jobs bonanza in places such as Vancouver, Calgary, Ottawa and Montreal. The deal has spawned more than 100 new scheduled service routes between Canada's largest 10 cities and U.S. centres. Vancouver Airport is adding 1,000 jobs annually, paying on average 33 per cent above the provincial industrial wage. Montreal has added 1,000 new jobs to service the 33 new routes across the border. Since 1995, Calgary has doubled its number of direct connections to the U.S.

MINIATURIZATION
            Japan has developed the "micro-car", a replica, at one one-thousandth the size, of Toyota's first automobile. As tiny as a grain of rice, the minuscule vehicle has 24 parts, including tires, wheels, axles, headlights and taillights, and hubcaps that carry the company name in microscopic letters. The motor, which itself is made of five parts, is only 0.7 millimetres in diameter and can propel the car at speeds of up to five centimetres a second. Already the world's masters of miniaturization, Japanese companies, backed by the government, are hoping to make complete machines the size of insects with parts as small as specks of dust. Miniaturization is one of the most promising industries of the future with the potential to revolutionize fields like manufacturing and medicine.  

COMPETITION
            Massive change is facing drugstores where pharmacists face competition from a range of rivals, including mail order companies, supermarkets and department stores. The stakes are high as aging consumers spend more on medication and heath-care aids as well as demanding more information on available products. In a bid to counter this, Zellers Inc. of Montreal, which runs pharmacies across the country, is about to offer "good-heath clinics" covering such topics as asthma, diabetes, depression, heart conditions and arthritis. The mobile clinics will tour the country over the next year. At each site, a pharmacist and a registered nurse will run the clinic. About 15,000 people visited Zellers stores over the summer for pilot clinics on cholesterol and allergies.

FUEL EFFICIENCY
            For years, auto makers have been looking for an engine that uses little fuel, has low emissions and develops great horsepower. Now a new generation of cars with fuel sipping engines but zippy acceleration are about to hit showrooms. First out is Mitsubishi which introduced two new models in Japan this summer. They have a clever new engine which borrows ideas from diesel trucks and traditional lead burning engines. Compared with a conventional engine of comparable size, Mitsubishi claims its new GDI (gasoline direct injection) motor uses 35 per cent less fuel, produces 35 per cent less carbon dioxide and  95 per cent less nitrogen oxide and yet turns out 10 per cent more power.

ONLINE
            U.S. computer users are spending an average of 12 hours a month online, down from 16 hours last year suggesting that the rhetoric about cyberspace being the next TV is a little premature.

CANADIAN TRADE
            Canada's trade surplus retreated slightly in July but continued to reflect a booming export sector that is expanding its presence in two key markets--the United States and Japan. Statistics Canada reports that exports exceeded imports by $3.07 billion. Canada's surplus with Japan almost doubled, rising to $633 million and the balance with the U.S. edged up to $3.84 billion. However, Canada's deficit with all other countries grew to $1.4 billion. Much of the gain with the U.S. came from resurgent lumber shipments, up nearly a third because of higher prices and a stronger U.S. housing market, and robust exports of auto parts.

TRAVEL
            Higher economic growth and lower unemployment should bode well for the Canadian travel industry in 1997 according to the Conference Board of Canada. They are forecasting pleasure travel within Canada will increase 3.2 per cent compared to 2.6 per cent for the economy. Domestic business trips should increase by 3 per cent. It is expected that the number of Canadians travelling to the U.S. will pick up in 1996 and 1997 after five years of declining numbers. The outlook for U.S. and overseas travellers to Canada is optimistic with British Columbia and Alberta the main beneficiaries.        

SUPPLY AND DEMAND
            In 1995, the number of law-school applicants in the U.S. was down 16 per cent over 1991. There were about 896,000 attorneys in the country--one for each 290 people.

EMOTIONS
            Last month, at a symposium on the Riemann Hypothesis in Seattle, mathematicians gave Atle Selberg a standing ovation for his brilliant lecture on the history of prime-number theory. Such demonstrations of emotion are rare among mathematicians.

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