Saturday, April 01, 1995

APRIL 1995 Economic Digest - Importing and Exporting



APRIL 1995  Edition 
 

INTERNET
            The Pacific Northwest Economic Development Council, a 36 year old non-profit organization representing economic development professionals in the states of Alaska, Washington, Oregon, Montana and Idaho along with the provinces of Alberta and British Columbia, has produced an excellent Internet-based regional development tool. The system, named "Pacific Northwest Passages" and found by any WWW browser at http://awinc.com/pnedc/ features city profiles full of key information for international business marketers, local business opportunity listings and a professional economic development resource directory. Anyone interested in doing business with the Pacific Northwest and its annual GDP of $326 billion will find this system invaluable for leads and contacts. This Economic Digest also appears on "Passages" and questions or requests for more information on any item may be posted at the same Internet address.

TICKETS
            Later this year, Air Canada plans to go ahead with a new ticketless travel system that will enable passengers to book their tickets by home computer and pay with a credit card when they arrive on board. It is estimated that this will save the airline up to $1.5 million in paper, printing and handling. Over the long term, it could result in significant savings by avoiding travel-agent commissions which cost the airline $310 million in 1994. Ticketless travel could theoretically save $40 million a year.

FRAUD
            Fake grocery coupons are making the rounds, involving books of coupons purported to be worth up to $6,000 each in prizes from big-name manufacturers such as Nabisco, Nestle and Kraft. Since last fall, almost 4,500 Canadians have lost roughly $4.5 million in the scam. Consumers have called the companies complaining that grocery stores will not honour the bogus coupons. Most of the coupons claim to have a $10 value and carry a picture of a grocery cart in the middle. Telemarketers have used high pressure sales tactics to sell the coupons, which are being sold for roughly $200 to $1,200 a book.

NAFTA
            Despite the current problems with Mexico, formal negotiations to bring Chile into NAFTA start in May and could be concluded within a year. Next will be Argentina and Brazil.
Unlike Mexico, Chile is small with 14 million people. Democracy is well established and Chile had a ten-year start over other Latin American countries in market reforms and began bringing down its own trade barriers without waiting for others to reciprocate.
            The economy has grown uninterruptedly for 11 years, and at an average annual rate of 7 per cent for the last eight years. Chile's investment rate is 25 per cent, nearly up to Asian levels. Inflation is down to single digits, unemployment a mere 5 per cent, foreign trade in surplus and external debt under control. Santiago has plenty of mobile telephones, a modern skyline and American-educated officials who talk enthusiastically about privatization. Only a few adjustments are expected to be necessary in areas such as patents and repatriation of foreign investment. However, agriculture may prove to be a sensitive subject.

RESOURCES
            Last year, 10,000 Canadians were working in coal mining and production jumped 5.6 per cent to over 72 million tonnes of coal valued at $1.8 billion. Alberta and B.C are the biggest producers with a combined production of 58 million tonnes. Canada consumes 50 million tonnes and exports the balance to more than 20 countries. The biggest customers are in Japan, South Korea and Brazil.
            The Canadian oil and gas industry drilled 11,872 wells in 1994, up from 9,396 the previous year. 77.7 per cent of wells drilled in 1994 struck either oil or natural gas compared with 81 per cent in 1993. Oil wells accounted for 45.2 per cent of successful drilling and gas wells for 32.4 per cent.

TRAVEL
            In 1993, U.S. residents made 12 million trips to Canada and spent C$4.1 billion. The typical traveller stayed 3.9 nights and spent $87 per night. Americans tended to visit in the summer and come from four states: New York, Michigan, Washington and California. In more than half the cases, pleasure was the primary reason for visiting Canada (Ontario was the main destination); visits to friends or relatives accounted for a fifth of the total; business trips represented 15 per cent of all overnight trips.

HUNTING
            The Government of Alberta recently approved for auction, in Phoenix, the chance to hunt a bighorn sheep in the Rocky Mountains. The winner, a Colorado businessman, paid $225,000 (U.S.) and will be given a month to hunt down one mature male. Last month at an auction in Albuquerque, New Mexico, a Washington hunter bid $23,000 for an elk-hunting permit. Similar sales are not allowed in Alberta where residents pay $10 each to enter draws for the chance to hunt elk or sheep.

WOMEN
            The Canadian Federation of Independent Business says a country-wide survey has found "outrageous" discrimination against female entrepreneurs. They are likely to find discrimination on two levels: they are refused loans 20 per cent more often than men, and when they do get financing, they often pay a higher rate of interest than do men. The CFIB has recommended that banks should decentralize their credit decision making to the branch level where a relationship of confidence exists between the account manager and borrower; that account managers should be better trained in understanding the importance of female entrepreneurs in the Canadian economy; and that financial institutions must better understand the particular needs of small and medium sized businesses, especially those owned by women.

COMPUTERS
            Computers are big business in Canada, and the industry is growing quickly. According to Industry Canada, the top 100 Canadian computer companies are growing faster--30 per cent between 1992 and 1993--than the top 100 U.S. computer companies, which grew at only 19 per cent over the same period. Depending on how you define the industry, the Information Technology sector is worth anywhere between $19 billion and $49 billion a year and employed 342,000 Canadians in 1994. The IT industry grew by 6.7 per cent last year, easily outpacing most other sectors of the economy.

INDIA
            Canada was once India's third largest trading partner, now it is 24th behind Israel, Belgium, the Netherlands and trails badly all the other Group of Seven nations. Canada's exports to India remained flat in the first six months of this fiscal year, at about $151 million (U.S.), while India's total merchandise imports soared 22 per cent to $17.6 billion. In the Indian market, exports are doubling every five years and domestic demand will soon outstrip that of many industrialized countries. In its most recent budget, the Indian government announced further tariff cuts on industrial goods and a five-year tax holiday on investments in infrastructure projects.

EDUCATION
            Last year, the economy added 277,000 jobs, its best showing since 1988. But a large group of Canadians are getting nothing out of the recovery. If you have completed some form of postsecondary education--a university degree, a community college diploma, a training certificate--you will get a job. Without it you won't. For those with high-school education, or less, 145,000 jobs disappeared. For those with post secondary education, 422,000 jobs opened up. That means 99.3 per cent of people entering the labour force with a degree or diploma found work. From 1990 to 1992, total employment fell 323,000; from 1992 to 1994 employment rose by 450,000. Last year we were 127,000 jobs ahead of 1990. From 1990 to 1994, the economy created about 957,000 jobs for people with that essential piece of paper. At the same time, it destroyed 830,000 jobs for people with anything less, a massive change over such a short period in a 13.3 million-person job market.

ABSENTEEISM
            Canadians missed an average of 9.3 days at work in 1993, but the portion of time off because of illness and disability dropped slightly from a decade earlier. Time lost because of illness or disability declined to about 6.1 days from 6.7 days in 1983. Meanwhile, time lost for personal or family responsibilities increased from 1.9 to 3.3 days. Factors contributing to the decline in time off because of illness range from non-smoking workplaces, to fitness programs and improved safety conditions.

TECHNOLOGY
            B.C. firms lag behind those in other parts of Canada in adopting computer-based technology. According to Statistics Canada, among Ontario companies, 86 per cent have at least one technology on the premises, compared to 77 per cent on the Prairies, 76 per cent in Quebec and just 66 per cent in B.C.

PRIVATIZATION
            The federal weather offices in B.C. and Yukon are expecting to earn an estimated $500,000 this year. Under the federal government's move towards commercialization, the weather office is now selling commercials on weather information lines, working in partnership with private enterprise and developing personalized forecasts for business For $87.00 an hour, a business can get a one-on-one consultation from weather specialists. At the low end of the scale, people are paying a few dollars to get detailed weather faxes for holiday destinations. Next month, a marine weather service comes on line called Weathercall. A bulletin board for computer users, weather fax service and 900 lines are all new services.

SNOWBIRDS
            The recent budget will affect Canadians who live abroad permanently. Starting next year, they will lose at least one-quarter of their monthly Old Age Security cheques. If they don't tell Ottawa how much they earn--or if they do but earn over $84,000-- they lose OAS altogether. This budget provision will affect 69,000 of the 3.4 million people who receive OAS. As the system now works, Ottawa taxes back part of OAS income to people living in Canada if their annual income is more than $53,215 but it has no way of doing the same to Canadians who have left the country.
            A Canadian living in the U.S., for example, gets the whole amount and pays U.S. taxes on half of it. Under the new system, the same person would pay a withholding tax of 25 per cent of the monthly OAS payment, but the U.S. will not tax the remaining 75 per cent. This move will leave individuals worse off, but Ottawa, not Washington, will get the tax revenue.

BUREAUCRACY
            A 69-year old man who lay dead for nearly four years in a London council apartment building has been judged as a victim of "indifferently managed" home-help services. We wonder what would constitute "badly-managed" services!        

EMPLOYMENT VACANCY
            The post of Sheriff of Nottingham, once held by the arch-foe of legendary outlaw Robin Hood, is vacant for the first time in 800 years because nobody wants the job.

POLLS
            In a recent poll by the Washington Post, 43 per cent of people surveyed either approved of the 1975 Public Affairs Act or felt that it should be repealed. There is no such legislation!

TRIVIA
            After only seven days of learning, a herd of 133 cows in Sussex, England, have started to milk themselves. They decide when they want to be milked by the Dutch-made robotic system and if there is a technical hitch, the farmer is contacted by modem.