Friday, April 01, 1994

APRIL 1994 Economic Digest - Importing and Exporting



APRIL 1994 Edition


HIRING
            Canadian companies are in more of a hiring mood than their U.S. counterparts this year according to a joint survey by the Canadian and U.S. Purchasing Management Associations. About one-fifth of Canadian companies canvassed said they would add employees this year while two-fifths said they would continue to trim workers. Only a 10th of the U.S. companies said they planned to add workers, while three-quarters expected further downsizing. The survey represented the views of 39 Canadian and 59 U.S. purchasing executives for companies that buy about $140-billion (U.S.) worth of goods a year. Executives in both countries listed global competition and productivity as the top concerns facing their companies, followed by environmental regulation and training. Asked about the NAFTA, U.S. purchasers said their companies expect to benefit more from dealing with Mexico than with Canada. About 45 per cent said they would buy more raw materials and finished goods from Mexico, but only 15 per cent anticipated higher purchases from Canada.

WINE
            Weeding out poor grapevines has paid off for Okanagan wineries and growers. Less than five years ago, the end of government subsidies under new global trade rules forced a huge pullout. Now there are 26 B.C. wineries instead of 12 and there are projections for 50 by the year 2000. The Ontario government has  signed bilateral agreements with British Columbia to remove existing inter-provincial barriers on wine, spirits, spirit coolers and ciders which will give these products increased market access and allow consumers in both provinces the ability to choose from a wider selection of products.

CROSS BORDER TRIPS
            Same-day trips by Canadians to the U.S. totalled a seasonally adjusted, 3,441,000 in January, down 10.4 per cent from 3,842,000 in December, the largest month-to-month decline in such trips in more than a decade. The January figure was the lowest for any month since April 1989. Same-day trips reflect the level of cross-border shopping excursions and the downward trend has mirrored the fall in value of the Canadian dollar. Car trips of one or more nights also continued to decline in January, dropping 4.9 per cent.

THE BAY
            Despite increased competition in the Canadian retail market, the Hudson's Bay Co. posted record profits in 1993. With 92 Bay stores and 290 Zellers stores, Hudson's Bay had sales of $5.15 billion in 1993. Canada's oldest retailer has now unveiled plans for a new push into China and other parts of the cash-rich Asian market, which they describe as being the largest untapped retail distribution opportunity in the world. This may be accomplished through a joint venture company or by incorporating a new company in Asia though a number of large, Asian based organizations have expressed interest in joining the Bay which is recognized throughout Asia where it has been a buyer since the early 1970s. The company plans to establish hybrids of its Bay and Zellers stores in downtown areas and its Zellers discount chain in suburban locations. Store clerks will be indigenous while key positions will be staffed by Canadians.

MANUFACTURING
            Canada came sixth in overall quality when 20,000 consumers in 20 countries were asked to rank the manufactured goods of 12 nations. Japan had the highest ranking with 38.5 per cent of respondents rating its goods as either "excellent" or "very good." In comparison, 18.3 per cent rated Canada's goods as top quality. After Japan, Germany ranked second followed by the U.S., Britain and France. The manufactured products of Canada were rated highest--"excellent" or "very good"--by Canada (52 per cent), Hungary (36 per cent), and the U.S. (33 per cent), and lowest by Taiwan (4 per cent), Italy (5 per cent) and the Dominican Republic (8 per cent). Canadians gave goods from Japan (47 per cent), and Germany (42 per cent) the highest ratings after Canadian goods. The lowest ratings went to products from Russia, Mexico and Spain.
           
TRUCKING
            Moving freight is always a good barometer of how the economy is doing. One major Ontario company will hire at least 140 drivers this year and is buying 195 highway tractors and 360 trailers. Seventy-five of the trucks will be operated by pairs of drivers so they can be used round the clock on long haul routes. Each truck will be equipped with satellite communications equipment so the company can reach drivers any time, day or night, and divert them to new customers. The company is experiencing dramatic growth--33 per cent in the Canadian operations and 30 per cent in the American--because of booming Canadian exports and free trade. Business is increasing because the Canadian economy is picking up and fewer U.S. trucks are coming to Canada because they are busy at home. 

GATT AGRI-FOOD
            Exporters looking for information on the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) and the Canadian agri-food industry can now turn to a 1-800 number for help. Through the toll-free line, set up by Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, callers can have their questions answered and access fact sheets on GATT and its impact on agriculture. The toll-free line, 1-800-668-1266, is available Monday to Friday from 7am to 8pm (EST).

OTTAWA
            The federal government has launched a plan to make it easier for Canadian companies to gain a toehold in international markets. Ottawa spends more than $500 million a year on trade development which involves 18 government departments and agencies. By co-ordinating efforts between different levels of government and making information more accessible and eliminating duplication, Ottawa hopes more companies will be able to make sales in markets opened through the completion of the NAFTA and the GATT. The business plan includes a strategic overview that lists 1,300 international events, such as trade shows, which support export development activities. In the past, there have been times when two levels of government were simultaneously mounting trade shows aimed at the same market. About 60 per cent of all Canadian exports are made by just 100 firms, and less than 8 per cent of Canadian businesses are involved in selling outside the country.

CASCADIA
            In a recent economic analysis, the B.C. Credit Union has come out in favour of Cascadia as a trading bloc. Cascadia encompasses Alaska, British Columbia, Washington and Oregon. For governments, this will mean on-going and directed co-operation among state and provincial governments and requires the continued development of the regional infrastructure. According to the U.S. Department of Commerce and Statistics Canada, Cascadia's Gross Domestic Product share by member is: Washington, 39 per cent, B.C., 31 per cent, Oregon, 22 per cent and Alaska, 8 per cent. The population share is:
Washington, 43 per cent, B.C., 27 per cent, Oregon, 25 per cent and Alaska 5 per cent.
A major Cascadia advantage lies in its international makeup which gives the region access to the benefits provided by the strengths and national characteristics of both countries.
            British Columbia and, in particular Vancouver, also brings a secure and international financial system to Cascadia. Vancouver already has legislation in place making it an international financial centre. And NAFTA ensures Canadian access to the soon-to-be-reformed U.S. banking system, and America's unequalled capital markets. This may give Vancouver the inside track to become the international banking centre on the West Coast, a position which by most accounts remains unfilled.

ADVICE
            The Toronto-Dominion Bank has announced a plan which will give small businesses facing financial ruin last ditch advice from an advisory panel. It will be based on a mediation process aimed at keeping a company alive. The process, which starts in April, will be open to customers who have loans under $250,000, who can't meet their payments and who may well be on the verge of bankruptcy. The mediation panel will have three members, one chosen by the customer, one by the bank and a third selected jointly from a list of independent mediators. The panel could decide, for example, that the bank restructure the company's loan to give it more breathing room, or suggest that the business cut employees. The recommendations are not binding. More than 90 per cent of the bank's business customers have lines of credit under $250,000.

CALIFORNIA
            California has a larger economy and population than Canada and the San Francisco Bay area is the fourth-largest market in the U.S. A strategic alliance with a North California firm could be an ideal way to gain access to this huge market and some of the nation's most advanced technology. With this in mind, the Investment Division at the Canadian Consulate General, Los Angeles, in co-operation with the provinces of Quebec, Alberta and British Columbia recently sponsored the latest in a series of business matchmakers in Pleasanton (just southeast of Oakland) and Sacremento. The response by local firms was encouraging resulting in 19 expressions of serious interest in partnerships with Canadian firms. For further information, contact the Canadian Consulate Trade office in San Francisco, Tel: (415) 543-2550, ext. 22 or Fax: (415) 512-7671.

RETAIL
            The super-charged supermarket competition in Atlanta is about to heat up again as Winn-Dixie Stores Inc. gets ready to launch an on-line computer ordering service this spring. Archrival Kroger Co. which quit its own on-line service three years ago because of a lack of subscribers is getting ready to try again. The Winn-Dixie version will enable customers who are subscribers of the America Online computer network to electronically order from a list of more than 10,000 products. Deliveries, including prescriptions will be made Monday through Friday in the afternoon or evening for a $9.95 fee. The service is being offered to give more supermarket shopping options to professionals with little time, and housebound customers. And can Canada be far behind?

TRAVELLING
            Canadians spent $7.7 billion more travelling outside Canada than visitors to Canada brought in according to StatsCan. But total payments by Canadians travelling in Canada and visitors reached record levels in 1993--bringing the travel deficit down from a total of $8.2 billion in 1992. Total payments reached $16.4 billion, up 1.1 per cent from 1992. Spending by Canadians in the U.S. decreased 3.5 per cent to $10.6 billion, while payments from trips to all other countries increased 10.8 per cent to a record $5.8 billion. Visitors to Canada spent $8.7 billion--8 per cent more than in 1992. The biggest increase came from Americans, who spent a record $5 billion, up 9.5 per cent.     

AMTRAK
            This U.S. rail corporation and the state of Washington will shortly launch a test run of a luxury rail service in the Pacific Northwest corridor and hopes to re-establish service between Seattle and Vancouver by October providing Amtrak can get $560 million from the U.S. Congress to offset service losses. The Burlington Northern Railroad has allocated about $3 million to the project and has started to upgrade tracks north of the border, while the state of Washington has assumed costs of track work between Seattle and the border. Customs and Immigration details have yet to be worked out but it is hoped travellers will use the train for one-day business trips between Seattle and Vancouver. The service will offer white-tablecloth dining, free newspapers and movies.

TRIVIA
            In the U.S., legalized gambling is a $30 billion a year business, twice as much as movies and TV combined.